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Everything You Need to Know About the SpaceX Trading Debut on 12 June 2026

  • Jun 12
  • 15 min read

Updated: Jul 12

Breaking: SpaceX (SPCX) is making its Nasdaq trading debut today, 12 June 2026. Shares are priced at USD 135. This article was published on the morning of the debut. First-day trading data will become available during the session. Verify live prices before any investment decision.

 

Twenty-four years after Elon Musk founded Space Exploration Technologies on the conviction that he could build rockets cheaper than anyone else, SpaceX is a publicly traded company. Today, 12 June 2026, the ticker SPCX opens on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The IPO price is USD 135 per share, the company raised approximately USD 75 billion in the offering, and the valuation at listing is approximately USD 1.77 trillion. Every one of those numbers is the largest in the history of an initial public offering.


For Indian investors, the SpaceX listing matters in ways that go beyond the direct question of whether they can buy shares. It is the single largest signal the market has had about whether the current valuations of AI and space infrastructure companies can be sustained in public markets. SpaceX's first-day performance will directly influence the IPO timelines of Anthropic and OpenAI, both of which have confidential SEC filings and are watching today's session closely.


And for the sizeable community of Indian retail investors who have been tracking SpaceX for years and wondering whether they would ever get access to its equity, today answers that question: they can, but not easily, and not at Rs 135 worth of exposure.


This article covers everything you need to know about the debut: the deal structure, what happens during a first-day opening, why the stock will not start trading at 9:30 AM New York time, what the green shoe is and why it matters, how Indian investors can access SPCX, and what the first-day outcome signals for the broader IPO market.

 

The Deal at a Glance

Detail

Figure

Context

Ticker symbol

SPCX

Nasdaq Global Select Market and Nasdaq Texas

IPO price per share

USD 135

Fixed price from the start; no traditional book-building price range

Shares offered (base)

555,555,555 Class A shares

SpaceX sold 555.6 million shares to the public

Gross proceeds raised

Approximately USD 75 billion (approx Rs 6.3 lakh crore)

3x larger than Saudi Aramco's 2019 record of USD 25.6 billion

Overallotment (green shoe)

Additional 83,333,333 shares at USD 135

Underwriters can buy this extra allotment; raises total possible proceeds to USD 86.25 billion

Implied total valuation at listing

Approximately USD 1.77 trillion (approx Rs 1.48 lakh crore crore)

Would debut as roughly the 7th largest US company, larger than Tesla

Retail investor allocation

Approximately 30 percent of shares offered

Vs the usual 5 to 10 percent; retail demand exceeded USD 1 lakh crore

Underwriters

Morgan Stanley (lead), Goldman Sachs, BofA, Citi, JP Morgan, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, RBC, UBS, Wells Fargo

Morgan Stanley is also the stabilisation agent

Offering close date

15 June 2026

Subject to standard closing conditions

Musk voting control

Retained via dual-class share structure

Class B shares held by Musk carry higher voting weight; public gets Class A

 

When Will Shares Actually Start Trading? Not at 9:30 AM


The Nasdaq opens at 9:30 AM New York time (roughly 7:00 PM India Standard Time). SpaceX shares will not start trading at the opening bell despite today being the IPO date. This is normal for large, high-demand IPOs, and understanding why it happens matters for anyone watching the ticker today.


Before shares can begin trading in an IPO, the lead underwriter, in SpaceX's case Morgan Stanley, must match sufficient buy and sell orders to open trading in an orderly way. The standard threshold is matching approximately 10 percent of the shares sold in the IPO before opening trading, which prevents the first print from being driven by a tiny, unrepresentative order.

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For SpaceX, 10 percent of the 555.6 million shares is approximately 55.6 million shares, worth roughly USD 7.5 billion at the IPO price. Finding willing sellers is the hard part: most IPO investors who received allocations at USD 135 are not necessarily selling immediately, and the lock-up period prevents pre-IPO shareholders from selling for six months.


The practical result is that SpaceX shares will likely start trading late morning or early afternoon New York time, meaning between 8:30 PM and 10:00 PM IST on 12 June 2026. Alibaba's 2014 IPO, previously the largest on US exchanges, opened just before noon New York time. Figma's 2025 debut started just before 2:00 PM New York time. SpaceX bankers may choose to begin trading with a smaller order match than the typical 10 percent threshold if they want to ensure several hours of trading on the first day before markets close at 4:00 PM New York time.


For Indian investors watching from IST: the first trade will likely print between approximately 8:00 PM and 11:30 PM IST tonight. The first few trades will determine whether the stock opens above, at, or below the USD 135 IPO price, and that opening premium or discount will set the tone for the narrative around the entire offering.

 

The Fixed Price: Musk's Deliberate Break from Convention


Traditional IPOs follow a process called book building. The company and its bankers circulate a preliminary price range (say USD 120 to USD 135) to potential investors, gauge their interest and willingness to buy at various price points, and then set a final price based on the demand they observe. This process, which typically takes 7 to 10 days during the roadshow, is essentially a price discovery exercise.


SpaceX did not do this. It announced a fixed price of USD 135 from the beginning with no price range, no traditional book building, and no adjustment of the price based on investor feedback. Musk's stated rationale was to reduce the drama and complexity around what was already the largest IPO in history. A fixed price removes the uncertainty about where the deal will price and prevents the upward revision dynamic that sometimes happens in hot IPOs where the book builds 20 to 30 times oversubscribed.


The trade-off is the loss of price discovery. In a traditional book-built IPO, the final price reflects what a large number of institutional investors collectively said they were willing to pay. The fixed price reflects what SpaceX and its bankers estimated the market would bear, without the market having actually confirmed it.


If SPCX opens significantly above USD 135 today, critics will argue SpaceX left billions of dollars on the table that could have been raised at a higher price. If it opens flat or below, critics will argue the company overestimated demand. The fixed price approach puts all the first-day narrative risk onto the stock's performance rather than spreading it across the price-setting process.


SpaceX set USD 135 as a fixed price with no book-building. The first trade today is the first real price discovery event for the world's most anticipated IPO. If it opens 20 percent above the IPO price, SpaceX left roughly USD 15 billion on the table.

 

The Green Shoe: Morgan Stanley's Price Stabilisation Tool


The green shoe, more formally called the overallotment option, is one of the most important but least understood mechanisms in any large IPO. For SpaceX, Morgan Stanley has a 30-day option to purchase an additional 83.3 million shares from SpaceX at USD 135. Understanding why this option exists, and what Morgan Stanley will do with it, explains a significant part of how the first days of trading will be managed.

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Here is how the green shoe works in practice. Morgan Stanley, as the stabilisation agent, sold more shares to investors than the base offering amount. In other words, investors in the IPO collectively received allocations for more than 555.6 million shares: they received allocations for approximately 639 million shares (the base offering plus the green shoe amount). This means Morgan Stanley is technically short approximately 83.3 million shares: it has delivered those shares to investors but does not yet have them from SpaceX.


Morgan Stanley must eventually acquire those 83.3 million shares to cover its short position. It has two ways to do so. If the stock price falls after the IPO, Morgan Stanley buys the shares in the open market, which creates buying pressure that helps support the stock price. If the stock price is stable or rising, Morgan Stanley exercises the overallotment option and buys the shares directly from SpaceX at USD 135. The company gets the extra proceeds from those shares, and Morgan Stanley covers its position without buying in the market.


The practical effect is that Morgan Stanley is a natural buyer of SPCX shares if the price weakens in the first 30 days. This does not prevent the stock from falling sharply if there is genuine sustained selling pressure, but it provides a meaningful technical support mechanism for moderate short-term weakness. The green shoe is the bankers' tool for preventing a disorderly opening while maintaining the appearance of a market-driven price.


The term green shoe comes from Green Shoe Manufacturing, a shoemaker that was among the first companies to include this option in its IPO documentation in the 1960s. The company has since been absorbed into Stride Rite, but the name stuck.

 

The Circuit Breaker Question: How Volatile Will Trading Be?


Bankers and traders are expecting SPCX to be volatile when it opens. The combination of the largest IPO in history, an unusually large retail allocation, the emotional significance of Musk's company going public, and the current macro backdrop of rising US rate hike expectations creates conditions for erratic early trading.


For most newly listed companies, a 10 percent move in either direction from the opening trade triggers a five-minute trading halt called a circuit breaker. This was introduced after the 2010 flash crash, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 700 points in eight minutes. Recent high-profile IPOs including Figma and Cerebras Systems both triggered circuit breakers on their first days of trading. It would be surprising if SPCX did not trigger at least one.


The concern on the downside is that the roughly 30 percent retail allocation, which is unusually large for a mega-IPO, creates a specific fragility: retail investors who bought at USD 135 expecting a first-day pop and do not see it may panic-sell simultaneously, creating a cascade of selling that triggers the circuit breaker repeatedly. The same retail concentration that made the IPO more accessible to individual investors also makes the opening more susceptible to retail sentiment swings.


The concern on the upside is the opposite: if SPCX opens sharply higher, retail investors who did not get an IPO allocation will rush to buy in the open market at significantly above USD 135, potentially creating an unstable spike that triggers the upper circuit breaker and then reverses when the momentum fades.


Morgan Stanley's role as stabilisation agent provides some floor mechanism on the downside through the green shoe purchases described above. On the upside, there is no equivalent ceiling mechanism; the stock can in principle open at any price the market sets.

 

What You Are Buying: SpaceX's Three Revenue Lines


The headline number associated with SpaceX is its valuation of USD 1.77 trillion and its USD 135 per share price. The relevant question for anyone buying the stock today or watching the opening price is: what does the business actually generate, and does the valuation make sense?


SpaceX's revenue comes from three distinct segments that are at very different stages of maturity and profitability.


Starlink, the satellite internet business, is the primary revenue and profit driver. By the time of the IPO, Starlink had approximately 10.3 million subscribers globally, generating revenues of approximately USD 11.4 billion on an annualised basis. Starlink's average revenue per user has been declining (from USD 99 to approximately USD 66 per month) as the company has expanded into lower-income markets, but subscriber growth has been strong enough that total revenues continue rising. Starlink is profitable and generates the cash that funds SpaceX's other activities.


The launch and rocket business is SpaceX's original activity and the segment for which it is historically famous. Falcon 9 is the world's most flown orbital rocket. The company has a large backlog of commercial satellite launches, NASA missions, and US government contracts. The launch business is profitable but generates lower margins than Starlink, partly because rocket reuse, while revolutionary in reducing per-launch cost, also creates pricing competition as the industry learns to rely on SpaceX's reliability.


The xAI segment is the newest and most speculative component. SpaceX consolidated Musk's AI business (xAI, which operates the Grok AI assistant and the Colossus computing cluster) under SpaceX's corporate umbrella in February 2026. This segment is loss-making: it generated a USD 6.4 billion operating loss in the period before the IPO.


The xAI integration is the most significant and most debated aspect of the IPO from an investor perspective, because it adds an AI narrative to SpaceX's story but also adds significant losses to what would otherwise be a profitable company.

Business Segment

Revenue (annualised)

Profitability

IPO Narrative

Starlink (satellite internet)

Approximately USD 11.4 billion; 10.3 million subscribers

Profitable; cash generative; funding the rest of SpaceX

The engine: growing revenue, sticky subscribers, global geographic expansion ahead

Launch and rocket services

Meaningful; Falcon 9 is the most launched orbital rocket globally

Profitable but lower margin; reusability creates pricing pressure

The moat: Falcon 9 reliability and reuse creates barrier to entry; Starship is the next-generation bet

xAI / Grok / AI computing

Early stage; Colossus is one of the largest AI training clusters

USD 6.4 billion operating loss; early investment phase

The call option: if AI infrastructure scales, xAI could be transformative; if not, it is a drag on earnings

 

At USD 1.77 trillion, SpaceX is valued at approximately 110 to 120 times Starlink's annualised revenue. This is an extreme multiple that only makes sense if one of two things is true: Starlink continues growing rapidly for many years, eventually reaching hundreds of millions of subscribers globally, or the xAI segment eventually justifies a significant portion of the valuation. The launch business alone, even at high margins, does not get close to supporting a USD 1.77 trillion valuation.


This is not a controversial analysis: most analysts acknowledge that the SpaceX valuation today prices in a very specific optimistic long-term scenario. The USD 135 IPO price implies that investors are making a long-term bet on the trajectory of satellite internet penetration globally and on the emergence of SpaceX's AI infrastructure as a major business, not a bet on current earnings.

 

Why This IPO Is the Signal That Will Set Anthropic and OpenAI's Listing Timelines


SpaceX's first-day trading performance will be read by Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and global financial media as a verdict on whether public markets are prepared to absorb AI-adjacent mega-cap listings at extreme valuation multiples. The direct downstream consequence of today's session is the IPO timeline for Anthropic and OpenAI, both of which are waiting in the wings.


Anthropic, the AI safety company and maker of the Claude AI assistant, has a current private market valuation of approximately USD 65 billion. It has been widely reported to have filed a confidential IPO registration with the SEC, with a listing potentially in the second half of 2026. Anthropic's IPO bankers are watching SPCX's opening with specific interest: if SpaceX's AI infrastructure narrative (the xAI segment) gets a positive reception from public market investors, it validates the kind of valuation multiples that Anthropic would need to list at a meaningful premium to its last private round.


OpenAI is in a similar position but more complex: its recent transition from a non-profit governance structure to a for-profit public benefit corporation was a prerequisite for a public listing. Its current private valuation is approximately USD 300 billion. A clean, well-received SpaceX IPO that demonstrates public market appetite for loss-making but fast-growing AI companies accelerates both the Anthropic and OpenAI listings. A chaotic or disappointing SpaceX debut would push both listings into 2027 at minimum.


For Indian investors who are already tracking Anthropic and OpenAI with the hope of eventual public market access, today's SpaceX session is therefore a proxy indicator: watch the opening, watch whether the stock holds above USD 135 by the end of the day, and watch the trading volume. These three metrics collectively tell you how confident Wall Street is about the AI mega-cap IPO cycle.


Three scenarios for today: SPCX opens above USD 150 (Anthropic and OpenAI accelerate their 2026 listings); SPCX opens between USD 135 and USD 150 (orderly debut; timelines unchanged); SPCX opens below USD 135 (all 2026 AI IPOs pushed into 2027). Watch the open, not the intraday close.

 

The Infrastructure Test: Will Nasdaq Hold Up?


The sheer size of SPCX's IPO will test the trading infrastructure at Nasdaq in a way that has not happened since Facebook's troubled 2012 debut. Nasdaq has conducted mock opening simulations specifically to prepare for the volume of orders expected today.


The Facebook comparison is instructive and haunting. When Meta Platforms, then called Facebook, went public on Nasdaq in May 2012, a technology malfunction caused investors' order confirmations to be delayed. Investors who had tried to cancel or modify their orders before trading began did not receive confirmations that their orders had been processed. The confusion contributed directly to Facebook shares falling on the first day of trading. Facebook stock did not return above its IPO price for more than a year.


SpaceX is three times larger than Facebook's IPO. The number of retail investors involved, through the unusual 30 percent retail allocation and through Fidelity's specific decision to lower its minimum account requirement to USD 2,000 for this offering, means that the number of individual orders being processed simultaneously at the open is significantly higher than any previous IPO. Any delay in confirmation or order processing would create the same confusion that hurt Facebook in 2012.


Nasdaq's preparation includes distributed processing across both the Nasdaq Global Select Market (its primary exchange) and the new Nasdaq Texas venue, which provides redundancy in case of technical issues at the primary data centre. The dual-listing approach is designed to prevent a single point of failure.

 

Can Indian Investors Buy SPCX? The Realistic Answer


The short answer is yes, but with friction. Indian investors do not have direct access to IPO allocations at the USD 135 price through Indian brokers. The IPO allocation was handled through US brokers: Fidelity, Robinhood, Charles Schwab, SoFi, E*TRADE, and others who registered IndianAmerican or other eligible account holders. For an Indian resident in India, IPO allocations were not directly available.


For purchasing SPCX in the secondary market after it opens today, Indian residents have two routes. The first is through the Liberalised Remittance Scheme: transfer up to USD 2,50,000 per year to an international brokerage account (Interactive Brokers, Schwab International, and similar) under LRS, and purchase SPCX as a US-listed equity.


The 20 percent TCS on LRS remittances above Rs 7 lakh applies; this is recovered at ITR filing but is a cash-flow consideration. The second is through Indian mutual funds that may eventually take exposure to SPCX through their overseas investment mandates, subject to SEBI's USD 7 billion industry cap (which is currently nearly exhausted, as covered in the previous article in this series).


NRIs in the US, UK, Singapore, and other jurisdictions where they have brokerage accounts may have had access to IPO allocations through their US brokers. For NRIs who did not receive an allocation, buying in the secondary market is possible through any standard international brokerage.


For Indian HNIs who have been tracking SpaceX through the earlier private secondary market routes described in earlier articles in this series, the stock's listing today converts what was a complex, illiquid, unregulated SPV structure into a straightforward listed equity that can be bought and sold on Nasdaq with full regulatory transparency. This is a meaningful improvement in the investment framework for those who wanted SpaceX exposure.

 

Ripple Effects: What Else Will Move Today


A listing of this size does not happen in isolation. Several adjacent markets and stocks will see unusual activity today as investors buy SPCX, sell other holdings to fund those purchases, or take positions in related companies.


Technology stocks and Tesla are the most commonly cited names where selling pressure may increase as investors raise cash for SPCX purchases. Vanda Research noted earlier in the week that individual investors had been selling single-stock positions on a net basis for two days before the IPO, suggesting pre-positioning was already underway. Tesla specifically may see selling pressure from investors who see SPCX as a cleaner, more direct Musk-related exposure.


Index inclusion will play out over weeks, not today. SpaceX will not immediately appear in Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, or Russell index funds on the first day of trading. Index committees evaluate new listings based on market cap, liquidity, and trading history over a defined period, typically 10 trading days to several weeks.


When SPCX does qualify for major index inclusion, the passive index funds tracking those benchmarks become mechanical buyers of a large position, which provides a structural flow support that will be distinct from day-one trading.


The gold and bond market interaction is also worth noting. SpaceX's listing comes on a day when gold is already under pressure from Fed rate-hike expectations and US dollar strength. A strong SPCX opening would reinforce risk-on sentiment and could push gold lower as investors rotate capital toward equities. Conversely, a weak opening would reinforce risk-off sentiment and provide some relief to gold and bonds.

 

What to Watch Today: Four Metrics That Matter


For anyone following the SpaceX debut, four specific metrics determine the success or failure of the day and the longer-term narrative.


• The opening trade price: Is it above or below USD 135? A print above USD 150 (more than 11 percent above the IPO price) signals strong demand and sets a positive tone. A print below USD 135 signals that the fixed pricing overestimated demand and will generate negative headlines that could affect Anthropic and OpenAI's listing discussions.


• Whether the stock holds above USD 135 by the market close: First-day pops often reverse. A stock that opens at USD 160 but closes at USD 138 is a worse outcome than a stock that opens at USD 143 and closes at USD 147. End-of-day performance matters more than the opening print because it reflects a full session of price discovery rather than the initial order imbalance.


• The trading volume: The total number of SPCX shares traded today indicates the depth of market interest. Very high volume with price stability indicates genuine two-sided demand. Very high volume with significant price swings indicates speculative day-trading dominance. Low volume indicates that the retail interest did not translate into active trading.


• Whether circuit breakers are triggered and how many: One circuit breaker halt in either direction is expected and manageable. Three or more halts suggest unusually erratic trading that creates reputational risk for the offering and could concern analysts watching for signals about the AI IPO cycle's health.

 

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Disclaimer

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. SpaceX (SPCX) IPO data cited is based on the company's SEC filings and publicly available news sources as of 12 June 2026. First-day trading prices, outcomes, and market impacts described are anticipated scenarios, not guarantees. Investing in IPO stocks involves significant risk including the possibility of total loss. Indian residents investing through LRS should comply with applicable FEMA, TCS, and ITR reporting requirements. Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any investment decision.

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